Trump Blames the Media as Clinton’s Chances of Victory Grow

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Donald Trump addresses the convention after accepting the Republican nomination for President. The 2016 Republican National Convention in Cleveland. Thursday July 21, 2016. Cleveland, OH, USA (Aristide Economopoulos | NJ Advance Media for NJ.com)


By Jonathan D. Salant (NJ.com) / 08.14.2016

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Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has an almost 9 in 10 chance of winning the presidency in November — her largest advantage to date — according to statistics guru Nate Silver, who successfully predicted the outcome of every state in the 2012 election.

Silver’s  fivethirtyeight.com website gave Clinton an 89 percent of winning the White House this fall, compared with 11 percent for Republican nominee Donald Trump. The forecast, based on an analysis of opinion polls, was released Sunday.

Since the Democratic National Convention, Clinton has led in both national opinion polls and those in battleground states, such as Pennsylvania, Virginia and North Carolina. Clinton is ahead by an average of 7 percentage points nationally, according to Real Clear Politics.

How Trump and Clinton fare in swing states

No Republican has ever won the presidency without carrying Ohio, and the NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College and Quinnipiac University surveys released last week gave Clinton leads of 5 and 4 percentage points respectively.

In a series of tweets on Sunday, Trump, who said immigrants from Mexico were “rapists,” called for a ban on Muslims entering the U.S., criticized the parents of a Muslim-American Army captain who lost his life in Iraq, and questioned the “Mexican heritage” of an Indiana-born federal judge, blamed his dismal showing in the polls on news coverage of his campaign.

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